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a USDA-ARS Pasture Syst. and Watershed Manage. Res. Unit, Building 3702, Curtin Rd., University Park, PA 16802-3702
b Maryland Coop. Ext. Serv., Frederick, MD, 21702
c West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV 26506-6108
* Corresponding author (mas44{at}psu.edu)
Received for publication January 2, 2001.
| ABSTRACT |
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Abbreviations: DM, dry matter SEP, standard error of prediction
| INTRODUCTION |
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The electronic capacitance meter relies on differences in dielectric constants between air and herbage. The meter measures the capacitance of the airherbage mixture (Curie et al., 1987) and responds mainly to the surface area of the foliage (Vickery and Nicol, 1982). The rising plate meter integrates sward height and density into one measure, often called bulk height or bulk density (Michalk and Herbert, 1977). Pasture rulers rely on a positive relationship between forage yield and canopy height.
Commercially available meters come with factory calibrations; however, the accuracy and precision of these equations have not been evaluated for Northeast pasture conditions. Many studies of double-sampling techniques have shown that these techniques require frequent calibration and that universal equations for estimating pasture mass may be unreliable (Frame, 1993).
The level of error in measuring forage mass varies widely; however, Rayburn and Rayburn (1998) and Unruh and Fick (1998), working in pastures of the northeast USA, obtained calibration errors with plate meters of about 10% of pasture yields. They concluded that this level of error is acceptable for farm use. It is not known, however, what the economic consequences are of this level of error on a whole-farm basis. Farm data are not available to determine the level of inaccuracy that is economically acceptable. This type of research is expensive to conduct.
Whole-farm simulation models provide an alternative method to estimate economic consequences. The computer simulation model DAFOSYM (Dairy Forage System Model) is a whole-farm model where crop production, feed use, return of manure nutrients back to the land, production costs, income, and net return or profit of representative farms are simulated over many years of weather (Rotz et al., 1989; Rotz et al., 1999). Growth and development of alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.), grass, corn (Zea mays L.), and other crops are predicted on a daily time step from soil and weather conditions. Functions from the GRASIM (Grazing Simulation Model) model developed and validated by Mohtar et al. (1997a)(b) are used to simulate pasture production. This mechanistic model simulates photosynthetic rate and carbohydrate production as a function of solar radiation level, daylength, ambient temperature, atmospheric CO2 level, and crop leaf area. The DAFOSYM model has been verified and used to evaluate many different dairy production systems with various options in manure handling, forage conservation, and animal feeding, including grazing (Rotz et al., 1999; Soder and Rotz, 2001). The model thus provides a tool for estimating the economic costs of inaccuracy in forage measurement on pastures.
Our objectives were to (i) evaluate an electronic capacitance meter, a rising plate meter, and a pasture stick for accuracy and precision in estimating forage mass on pasture and (ii) estimate the economic consequences of inaccurate measurements of forage mass.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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We evaluated the measurement tools on cool season grasslegume pastures on a dairy farm in Franklin County, Pennsylvania; on two dairy farms in Frederick County, Maryland; and on an experimental farm in Monongalia County, West Virginia. The pastures on each farm were grazed on a 3- to 5-wk rotation by dairy cows (Bos taurus) (Pennsylvania and Maryland) or beef cattle (West Virginia). Stocking density at each grazing on the dairy farms was 100 to 150 cows ha-1. Stocking density at the experimental farm in West Virginia ranged from 25 to 100 cows ha-1, with grazing stays of 1 to 4 d per paddock. Pastures on the Pennsylvania farm were more than 30 yr old and consisted of tall fescue (Festuca arundinacea Schreb.), Kentucky bluegrass (Poa pratensis L.), and white clover (Trifolium repens L.). One Maryland pasture was planted in fall 1998 to perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.). The other Maryland pasture was an old permanent pasture consisting of Kentucky bluegrass, orchardgrass (Dactylis glomerata L.), white clover, and tall fescue. In West Virginia, pastures were predominately orchardgrass and white clover. Sward heights at each location ranged from 7 to 30 cm.
Three pastures were sampled on the Pennsylvania farm before grazing on six dates during August through October 1998. In 1999, five pastures were sampled on 16 dates from April through October. In Maryland, pastures on the two farms were sampled on two dates in August 1998 and on 10 dates during April through October 1999. In West Virginia, 21 pastures were sampled over several dates from July through November 1998.
On each sampling date and farm, the capacitance meter, rising plate meter, and ruler were used to estimate forage mass according to the manufacturers' instructions. These instructions recommended collecting a minimum of 30 readings per pasture. We established a set of five transects in a zigzag pattern on each pasture and collected six measurements per transect (30 total) with each tool. We then clipped three 0.1-m2 quadrats per transect (15 total). One person took all measurements in Maryland and West Virginia. In Pennsylvania, there were different operators on some dates. Herbage was clipped to ground level with battery-powered shears that were 100 mm wide and then placed in a paper bag and frozen until the sample was processed. The frozen samples were separated into green and dead material and then dried at 55°C for 48 h. Soil and other foreign material were discarded during the separation process.
Pasture means of green and total (green + dead) DM yields (n = 15) were regressed on pasture means of forage mass (n = 30) estimated by each method (Webby and Pengelly, 1986). Three equations to estimate forage mass from rising plate meter readings were provided by the manufacturer:
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The equations were developed in New Zealand on perennial ryegrasswhite clover pastures. We were not able to determine the equations for the capacitance meter because they were proprietary information. For the pasture ruler, we chose the factors of 110 and 154 kg DM ha-1 cm-1 forage height. These were the midpoints of values recommended for tall fescuelegume pastures of good and excellent sward density, respectively (Gerrish and Roberts, 1999).
Accuracy and precision of each method were evaluated by regression procedures (PROC REG; SAS Inst., 1998). If a method was perfect (i.e., the estimated yield was the same as the measured yield), then regression of measured yield on estimated yield would result in a straight line with an intercept of zero, a slope of 1, and zero error. For each regression, the estimated standard error of prediction (SEP) was calculated under the assumption that the variables were multivariate normal (SAS Inst., 1998).
Economic Analysis
The computer model DAFOSYM (Rotz et al., 1989) was used to model the economic consequences of inaccuracies in measuring forage mass on pasture. The biological and physical processes on a dairy farm are integrated in DAFOSYM. Crop production, feed use, and the return of manure nutrients back to the land are simulated over many years of weather. Forage losses and nutritive changes; the timing of field operations; and the use of machinery, fuel, and labor are among the many factors tracked by the model to predict performance and resource use for representative dairy farms. Simulated performance is used to predict the costs, income, and net return or profit. All production and economic information are determined for each simulated year.
Seven scenarios were modeled for representative low-input and conventional grazing dairy farms. The representative farms were based on actual management and production information from dairy farms in the Northeast. Assumptions for the low-input farm were 125 holstein cows and 100 replacement animals grazed on orchardgrass pasture in a management-intensive rotational stocking system for the grazing season (April to October). The herd was supplemented with grass silage, hay, and corn grain to meet its nutrient needs. Excess pasture in the spring and summer was harvested as bale silage or hay. This was a seasonal herd with a spring calving cycle; all cows were dry during the winter months, and peak milk production occurred in late spring. Milk production was 5900 kg cow-1 yr-1, with a culling rate of 25%.
Seven scenarios were modeled for the low-input grazing farm:
1. Optimal management and performance conditions for the farm. Forage on pasture was measured accurately and budgeted optimally, so an economically optimum balance of pasture utilization and conservation of excess forage on pasture was used.
2. Constant 10% underestimate in forage production for each month. There was more forage available than estimated; consequently, the paddocks were sized too large, and some conservable forage was lost.
3. Constant 10% overestimate in forage production for each month. There was less forage available on pasture than estimated; consequently the paddocks were sized too small, the animals were short on pasture forage, and more feed was conserved and fed than was necessary.
4. Constant 20% underestimate in forage production.
5. Constant 20% overestimate in forage production.
6. A 10% underestimate of forage in April through June and 10% overestimate in summer.
7. A 10% overestimate of forage in April through June and 10% underestimate in summer.
Assumptions for the conventional farm were 85 holstein cows and 60 replacement animals with 20.2, 40.5, and 20.2 ha of alfalfa, corn, and orchardgrass pasture, respectively. The herd grazed the pasture in a management-intensive rotational stocking system during April through October. First and third cuttings of alfalfa were harvested as chopped silage while second cutting was harvested as dry hay. Most of the corn was harvested and stored as silage, but in good growing years, some of the corn was custom-harvested as dry grain. All silage was stored in tower silos. The herd was fed rations consisting of available silages, grain, and protein supplements blended to meet requirements. Milk production was 9000 kg cow-1 yr-1, and the culling rate was 30%. This was a conventional year-round calving herd that was housed in a free-stall barn when not on pasture. Excess forage was not harvested from the pastures.
Seven scenarios were modeled for the conventional grazing farm:
1. Optimal management and performance conditions for the farm. Forage on pasture was measured accurately and budgeted optimally, minimizing the need for conserved forage use.
2. Constant 10% underestimate in forage production for each month. The excess pasture forage provided to animals was wasted.
3. Allocation of 10% less forage from pasture in the ration, causing animals to consume more conserved forage.
4. Allocation of 10% more forage from pasture in the ration than was available, causing a shortage of pasture forage at the end of the rotation cycle and a need for conserved forage feeding.
5. Constant 20% underestimate in forage production.
6. Allocation of 20% less forage from pasture in the ration.
7. Allocation of 20% more forage from pasture in the ration.
We chose the 10% level because this has been considered by others as an acceptable error rate for farm use (Rayburn and Rayburn, 1998; Unruh and Fick, 1998). We chose the 20% level to determine the effect of an unacceptably high rate of error.
| RESULTS AND DISCUSSION |
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The SEP of forage mass in Table 1 includes the error associated with hand-clipping the forage samples and the error in taking capacitance meter, rising plate meter, or pasture ruler readings. Both of these errors can be reduced by increasing the number of observations on pastures (Fulkerson and Slack, 1993). Increasing the number of indirect measurements would have increased the precision of these estimates, but it would not have improved the accuracy of the estimates because the underlying calibration relationship was not appropriate for northeastern USA pastures.
Murphy et al. (1995) tested a commercially available capacitance meter (Pasture Probe, Design Electronics, Palmerston North, New Zealand) on bluegrasswhite clover pastures in Vermont and reported a coefficient of variation of 29%. The relationship between measured and actual yields, however, was much better (Y = -314 + 0.9x; r2 = 0.42) than we obtained for the capacitance meter used in our study. Harmoney et al. (1997) reported r2 of 0.08 and error rates of 717 kg ha-1 for regressions of sward height (measured by ruler) on clipped yield of tall fescue pastures in Iowa. Relationships were better with a rising plate meter (r2 = 0.85, error = 290 kg ha-1). Studies reporting calibration relationships with the rising plate meter in Australia and New Zealand reported r2 of 0.6 to 0.8 and error rates of 240 to 830 kg ha-1 on perennial ryegrasswhite clover pastures (Michell, 1982; Piggott, 1986).
Reasons for poor regression relationships between the direct and indirect measurements include uneven ground (e.g., dips and holes) in pastures, trampling of vegetation by livestock, lodging of vegetation, heterogeneity of species composition, and observer bias (Aiken and Bransby, 1992; Karl and Nicholson, 1987). These conditions cause variability in both the indirect and direct measure. Additionally, the capacitance meter has a sensing area of 100 mm diam. by 400 mm tall; thus, herbage taller than 400 mm would not be sensed and measured. There were dates during our study when forage was taller than this height, which could have contributed to error.
In earlier models of electronic capacitance meters, separating dead from green material did not affect regression relationships indicating that dead material had little influence on meter readings. Research with temperate and tropical grasses in Australia showed that an electronic capacitance meter did not differentiate between green and dead plant material; but, dead material could contribute to variation of estimates about the regression line (Curie et al., 1973). Neal et al. (1976) noted that separation of dead litter probably was not necessary but that litter affects variability of yield. The proportion of dead material in pastures at the Pennsylvania farm ranged from >60% in the spring to 20% in the fall (data not shown).
Economic Consequences of Measurement Errors
In this section, we discuss the economic consequences of error in estimating forage mass on pasture. As previously discussed, error rates in our study ranged from 26 to 33% of the mean forage mass on pasture (Table 1). Sources of error in estimating forage mass in our study were (i) variation in pasture composition; (ii) hand-clipping of herbage; (iii) capacitance meter, rising plate meter, and ruler variation; and (iv) errors in separating and weighing green and dead material.
Low-Input Grazing Farm
Underestimating forage mass on pasture by 10 or 20% resulted in less hay and more grass silage being harvested, more pasture forage consumed, and less forage sold compared with the base farm (Table 2, Scenarios 2 and 4). The opposite occurred for overestimation of forage mass (Table 2, Scenarios 3 and 5). Feed costs increased when forage mass on pasture was overestimated, but this was partly offset by an increase in forage sold. On the other hand, feed costs decreased when pasture forage mass was underestimated, but this was entirely offset by the reduced amount of forage sold. Underestimating forage mass in the spring followed by overestimating yields in the summer (Table 2, Scenario 6) reduced net returns more than the opposite scenario (Table 2, Scenario 7). This indicates that accurate forage mass estimates are critical during the spring flush of pasture growth.
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10%. On-farm research in the northeast USA, however, has shown that calibration errors with a rising plate meter can be reduced to about 10% (Rayburn and Rayburn, 1998; Unruh and Fick, 1998). | CONCLUSIONS |
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| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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| NOTES |
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| REFERENCES |
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