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USDA-ARS and Dep. of Agronomy, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE 68583 USA
gvarvel1{at}unl.edu
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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Agronomists have long recognized that spatial and temporal variability greatly affects crop production and have tried to some extent to reduce those effects. Hybrid and variety development, fertilizer use, and irrigation where water is available have been used successfully in many areas to reduce or minimize some of the effects of variability. These practices have generally resulted in improved average yields over the long term, but little information is available on their effect on year-to-year variability.
There have been several attempts to analyze what effect these different aspects of management may have on both spatial and temporal variability of yield. Finlay and Wilkinson (1963), Mead et al. (1986), and Raun et al. (1993) used stability analysis to evaluate fertility treatments or genotypes for stability across time or location. As noted by Eghball and Varvel (1997), stability analysis should not be used for comparisons including dissimilar crops because of the scale dependency of the analysis.
Eghball and Varvel (1997) used fractal analysis to analyze yields from selected treatments in a large long-term study to assess temporal variability. This same procedure was used by Eghball and Power (1995) to characterize temporal variability for average yield of 10 crops in the United States. In both cases, results indicated that crops were significantly different in terms of temporal variability and that management was having little effect on spatial variability because of the dominance of temporal variability. These results seem to indicate that management can do little to overcome temporal variability, unless the environmental factors affecting it can be lessened to some extent, such as using irrigation to alleviate water stress.
Crop and soil management effects observed over time by researchers, consultants, and farmers seem to contradict these conclusions. Based on these observations, our objective was to use results from a long-term crop rotation study designed to determine effects of crop rotation and N fertilization practices in a rainfed environment on yield variability by using normalized grain yields from those systems.
| Materials and methods |
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Seven cropping systems (three monoculture, two 2-yr rotations, and two 4-yr rotations) with three rates of N fertilizer were included in the study. Monocultures were continuous corn (Zea mays L.), continuous soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.], and continuous grain sorghum [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench]. Two-year rotations in the study were cornsoybean and grain sorghumsoybean, while 4-yr rotations were cornoat [Avena sativa (L.)] + clover (80% yellow sweetclover [Melilotus officinalis Lam.] + 20% red clover [Trifolium pratense L.])grain sorghumsoybean and cornsoybeangrain sorghumoat + clover. A mixture of red clover and sweetclover was used to ensure a clover stand, as Melilotus spp. is subject to infestations of sweetclover weevil (Sitona cylidricollis). Each phase of every rotation occurred every year for a total of 15 rotation treatments. Treatments were assigned to experimental units (9 by 32 m) in factorial combinations of rotation and crop within rotation in five randomized complete blocks in 1982. No fertilizer N was applied to any of the monoculture or rotation plots that cropping season.
Three subplots (9 by 10 m) separated by 1-m alleys were randomly assigned a 0, low, or high N rate within each whole plot treatment starting with the 1983 cropping season. Nitrogen rates corresponded to 0, 90, or 180 kg N ha for corn and grain sorghum and 0, 34, or 68 kg N ha-1 for soybean and oat + clover crops. Monoculture corn and grain sorghum plots assigned low and high fertilizer N rates received more and monoculture soybean plots less total N than plots in rotation. Each plot in rotation received the same amount of N when summed over a 4-yr period. Nitrogen was sidedressed as a liquid ureaammonium nitrate solution (2800) in 1983 and 1984 and broadcast as granular ammonium nitrate (3400) in subsequent years. Nitrogen applications were made in early May for oat + clover and in early to mid-June for corn, grain sorghum, and soybean.
Cultural practices were similar to those used by local producers. Previous crop residue on corn and grain sorghum plots was shredded in late November each year. All plots were tilled once or twice with a tandem disk just prior to planting each year for all crops. Crop varieties and hybrids were evaluated and changed if necessary every 4 yr at completion of each full cycle of the longest rotations.
Oat was drilled as early as possible in the spring at 100 kg seed ha-1. Rhizobium-inoculated clover seed was seeded at 18 kg ha-1 in the same operation. Planting dates were usually as early as soil conditions allowed, which ranged from mid- to late-March to mid-April for oat + clover.
Corn was seeded in 76-cm rows at 47000 seed ha-1 in early May as soil conditions permitted. Weed control was accomplished using combinations of broad-spectrum herbicides in preemergence applications. Herbicides were selected for each rotation to obtain optimum weed control and to reduce carryover problems for successive crops in that rotation.
Soybean and grain sorghum were seeded in 76-cm rows at rates of 370000 and 173000 seeds ha-1, respectively. Both crops were planted in mid- to late-May or early June as conditions permitted. Weed control and herbicide selection for each crop were accomplished using the same criteria mentioned above for corn.
Oat was harvested with a plot combine to determine grain yields in early July. Corn was harvested for grain in early October using a plot combine and soybean and grain sorghum were harvested with a plot combine for grain yield in mid-October each year.
Because of the diversity of crops, grain yields from 1983 through 1998 for each crop were normalized using the greatest individual plot yield by crop for that year as the maximum (greatest yield = 1) and yield fractions were calculated. Once they had been normalized by crop, relative grain yields for all crops within a cropping system and N fertilizer treatment were combined, which resulted in relative yields for each cropping system and N fertilizer treatment in each year. Overall analyses of these 16 yr of data were conducted to assess what effects cropping system and N fertilizer treatment have on the relative yields and their variability in those systems. This assessment provides an indication of the long-term effects of cropping systems and has implications regarding the potential for failure or success of management decisions in precision farming. All statistical analyses were performed using the PROC MIXED procedure in Statistical Analyses System (Littell et al., 1996).
| Results and discussion |
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Nitrogen fertilizer did not affect normalized grain yields in continuous soybean, which is not unexpected since they are capable of fixing their own N. The lack of response to N fertilizer of normalized grain yields in continuous soybean over the 16 yr are similar to those reported by Peterson and Varvel (1989a) with respect to soybean grain yield response to N fertilizer. Although normalized yields at the three N fertilizer levels for continuous soybean were very uniform for the duration of the study, they were less than those obtained in the 2- and 4-yr cropping systems when N fertilizer was added, which would tend to support the benefits of crop rotation as compared with monocultures.
Comparisons of normalized yields between and among the 2- and 4-yr cropping systems were done even though the rotation by N treatment interaction was highly significant (Table 1). The change in normalized yields with the application of N fertilizer appeared to be similar within the 2- and 4-yr systems (Fig. 1), (i.e., no interaction). Using contrasts, the comparison between 2- and 4-yr cropping systems was not significant, but when these comparisons were made within 2- and 4-yr cropping systems, there were significant differences (Table 1). The comparison among 2-yr cropping systems indicated the average normalized yield of the grain sorghumsoybean rotation (0.74) was greater than the average normalized yield of the cornsoybean rotation (0.69). This difference was highly significant and may have been due to the same effect described above where grain sorghum normalized yields with N fertilizer in monoculture were much better than those of corn in monoculture with N fertilizer. The comparison among 4-yr cropping systems indicated a similar type of results with the average normalized yield of the oat + clovergrain sorghumsoybeancorn rotation (0.73) being significantly greater than the average normalized yield of the soybeangrain sorghumoat + clovercorn rotation (0.70). The reason for this significant difference between the 4-yr cropping systems is not as apparent, but may be due to the greater levels of organic C in the surface 30 cm in 1992 for the oat + clovergrain sorghumsoybeancorn rotation (14.8 g kg-1) as compared with those in the soybeangrain sorghumoat + clovercorn rotation (13.8 g kg-1) reported by Varvel (1994). The greater level of organic C (organic matter) may have resulted in more favorable water relations, which over the duration of the study may have resulted in the slightly greater normalized grain yields for that rotation.
These results demonstrate that greater normalized grain yields can be obtained in many cropping systems with proper management. Analyzed over long periods of time, which in this study encompasses large differences in yearly precipitation (Fig. 2) , greater normalized grain yields are somewhat of an indication of reduced yield variability in those cropping systems because the normalized grain yields have been found to be significantly affected by rotation and N fertilizer treatments during this 16-yr period. If these normalized grain yields had not been found to be significantly affected by rotation and N fertilizer treatment, that would have been an indication that the year-to-year variation was too great and that none of the cropping systems were effective at reducing that variability, which was not the case.
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This analysis provides evidence that many current management systems are prevalent because of their long-term effects on yield variability. Although previous comparisons such as this one have not been done, it appears that many producers and researchers have observed and therefore adopted these types of cropping systems. It becomes necessary for producers to decide how much risk they are willing to take and with information from a long-term study such as this recommendations can be formulated effectively.
| NOTES |
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Received for publication January 3, 2000.
| REFERENCES |
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