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Evaluating the Impact of a Trait for Increased Specific Leaf Area on Wheat Yields Using a Crop Simulation Model

Senthold Asseng*,a, Neil C. Turnera, Tina Botwrighta and Anthony G. Condonb

a CSIRO Plant Industry, Private Bag no. 5, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia
b CSIRO Plant Industry, P.O. Box 1600, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia



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Fig. 1. The specific leaf area (SLA) function in APSIM-Nwheat (_______) and with the modification applied to simulate an increased SLA trait (__ __ __ __) over three growth stages (1, emergence; 2, terminal spikelet; and 3, end of leaf growth).

 


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Fig. 2. Average monthly mean temperature (lines) and rainfall (bars) for (a) Moora (solid bars and _______), Wongan Hills (open bars and __ __ __ __), and Merredin (cross-hatched bars and __ .. __ .. __), Western Australia, based on weather records from 1907–1996; (b) Barellan (solid bars _______) and Pucawan (open bars and __ __ __ __), New South Wales, based on weather records from 1915–1992; and (c) Warra, Queensland, based on weather records from 1906–1995.

 


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Fig. 3. Simulated (a and b) daily leaf area index (LAI) and water stress and (c and d) aboveground biomass, grain yield, and N stress for (a and c) 30 kg N ha-1 and (b and d) 150 kg N ha-1 and (e) measured rainfall for Wongan Hills, Western Australia, on a sandy soil in 1968. Normal specific leaf area (SLA) is indicated by _______ and increased SLA by __ __ __ __.

 


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Fig. 4. Simulated cumulative probability distribution of the difference in grain yield between the increased specific leaf area (SLA) trait and the normal SLA trait on (a) a sandy soil and (b) a clay soil for 0 (_______), 60 (__ __ __ __), and 150 (___ . ___ . ___) kg N ha-1 treatments at Wongan Hills, Western Australia. The vertical line (...) represents zero.

 


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Fig. 5. Simulated grain yield response to the increased specific leaf area (SLA) trait over normal genotypes for 30 ({circ}) and 90 ({square}) kg N ha-1 on clay soil at (a) Wongan Hills and (b) Merredin, Western Australia and measured yield response to early-vigor lines (BC2F2–derived lines of cultivar Amery crossed with a high-vigor donor line) for 1997–1999 with low (•) and high ({blacksquare}) N input and the high-vigor cultivar Westonia with high N input ({diamondsuit}) (Botwright et al., 2002). Zero change grain yield line is also shown (...).

 


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Fig. 6. Simulated cumulative probability distribution of differences between the increased specific leaf area (SLA) and the normal SLA traits for (a, c, and e) maximum leaf area index (LAImax) and (b, d, and f) grain yield for (a and b) Moora, (c and d) Wongan Hills, and (e and f) Merredin, Western Australia, for 0 kg N ha-1 on a clay (_______) and a sandy soil (___ . ___ . ___) and 150 kg N ha-1 on a clay (__ __ __ __) and a sandy soil (___ .. ___ .. ___). The vertical line (...) represents zero.

 


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Fig. 7. Simulated relative change in long-term average yields with incorporation of an increased specific leaf area (SLA) trait for (a) sandy and (b) clay soil in Western Australia and (c) loamy soils in New South Wales (Barellan and Pucawan) and a clay loam in Queensland (Warra) for six N treatments. Vertical lines show the upper 25% probability of occurrence base on the long-term simulation runs as an indicator of variability. Long-term simulated average yields of the normal SLA genotypes are shown in Table 3.

 





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